Carlos Toledo
UNPUBLISHED DRAFT — frontier sandbox, not reviewed, not for distribution
rational-attention · the substitution rule, second domain

A certified bifurcation bracket for rational attention

Transformers are an interacting particle system, and their tokens cluster. Softmax needs exp, which this tree does not have — so replace the kernel with a rational one and check, first, whether the phenomenon comes with it. The PATH 12 rule: when the arithmetic cannot represent your model, change the model, do not approximate the function.

Requisite 0 measured · survived

Softmax attention needs exp. The PATH 12 move is to substitute a rational kernel rather than approximate the exponential. The deciding question: does the clustering phenomenon survive the swap? If not, the certificate would describe a system nobody cares about.

It survives, and it survives structurally. Measured on 12 tokens on S², fixed seed (attention-substitution.py):

kernellow sharpnessmidhigh
softmax — blocked1 cluster1 cluster3 clusters
polynomial (1+⟨xi,xj⟩)p1 cluster1 cluster2 clusters

Both undergo a cluster-count change as the interaction sharpens. Green control: if softmax ever fails to cluster the script exits 2.

python3 research/_frontier/attention-substitution.py

The certifiable parametrisation

An integer exponent is a poor bifurcation parameter. The form that stays rational in the state and smooth in the knob:

wij ∝ (1 + β⟨xi, xj⟩)p with integer p and continuous β — only + − × ÷ and integer pow.

What is decidable today revised after the enclosure pass

The projected residual is exactly zero on closed-form coincident-cluster configurations, decided by exact rational arithmetic. Antipodal 2-clusters and ⟨u,v⟩ = −1/β 2-clusters (when β ≥ 1) are equilibria for every such β. Existence of multi-cluster equilibria is not what any float β* measured.

What would falsify the enclosure. A nonzero exact residual on the closed-form configurations (T1–T3). A zero residual on a deliberately wrong angle (T4 must stay red). Krawczyk closing on a non-isolated coincident root (T5 must refuse).

Corrections under-iteration, thrice

Locator transient. attention-transition.py reported β* ∈ [1.601593, 1.601624] from 4000-step terminals. That bracket collapses under Newton / 20k steps. Gated in attention-equilibrium.py T5. Same species as PATH 12's first Huggett test.

Newton-from-8k is not an omega-limit. attention-equilibrium.py locked β* ∈ [1.615215, 1.615220] by short flow + Newton. Near criticality that is metastability. Gated as T8 in attention-basin.py: 100k-step flow from seed +0 at the old βhi reaches the 1-cluster.

(2.5, 2.7) was an 80k-step cutoff, not a linear crossing. The old basin T6/T7 reported the exact 2-cluster “loses local stability in (2.5, 2.7)” because β=2.5 still showed 2 clusters at 80k steps and β=2.7 showed 1. Extending the budget: the same seed/eps collapses at ~84.5k for β=2.5 (gated T9). Exact rationals (attention-stability.js) decide the reduced perfect-cluster law has a double zero at c*=−1/β and ċ>0 off equilibrium for every tested β — one-sided semi-stable, no linear sign change in β.

Exact residual zero 5/5

attention-enclosure.js — exact rational arithmetic (eqcert/src/rational.js) decides the residual is all zero on:

configurationβresidual
2-cluster, ⟨u,v⟩=−3/5, Pythagorean v=(−3/5,4/5,0) 5/3exactly 0
antipodal 2-cluster1/2 (below any float bracket) exactly 0
1-cluster5/3exactly 0

Claim revision, gated by the antipodal β=1/2 case: multi-cluster equilibria exist far below any float bracket. Krawczyk on an ungaged coincident root refuses (geometric non-isolation).

node research/_frontier/attention-enclosure.js

1-cluster spectrum 6/6

attention-spectrum.py. At any 1-cluster equilibrium, every sphere-tangent perturbation satisfies

(Jv)i = mean(v) − vi — spectrum {0 (gauge), −1 (relative)}, independent of β. At consensus the weights are uniform and their first variation vanishes.

Therefore no float β* on this path is a linear bifurcation of the 1-cluster. The 1-cluster stays linearly attracting for all β.

python3 research/_frontier/attention-spectrum.py

Bistability 11/11

attention-basin.py. At rational β = 5/3, both closed-form equilibria are locally stable under the normalized flow (50k steps after a 10−3 perturbation):

startafter perturbation + flow
1-cluster1 cluster
exact 2-cluster ⟨u,v⟩ = −3/52 clusters

From seed +0, 100k-step flow selects 1 cluster at β = 3/2 and 2 clusters at β = 2. Perfect-cluster kicks: above c* merges, below returns — at both β=2.5 and 2.7. A tight certified omega-limit β* for seed +0 is not claimed (critical slowing).

python3 research/_frontier/attention-basin.py

Reduced 2-cluster angle 14/14

attention-stability.js — exact rationals decide the perfect-cluster reduced law (equal sizes, p=2):

ċ = 2(1+βc)²(1−c²) / [(1+β)² + (1+βc)²]

Double zero at c*=−1/β (so f=f′=0); ċ>0 off equilibrium on every tested rational point — one-sided semi-stable for every β, not a linear crossing in (2.5, 2.7). Cross-weights are flat to first order at p=2, so the tangent Jacobian block-decouples into two 1-cluster copies with spectrum {0,−1}.

node research/_frontier/attention-stability.js

Proof-status ledger

claimstatuswhat backs it
rational kernel still clusters measured attention-substitution.py, exit 0
exact residual zero on closed forms measured attention-enclosure.js, T1–T3 exact rationals
1-cluster spectrum {0, −1}, β-free measured attention-spectrum.py, analytical J = mean − Id
bistability at β=5/3 measured attention-basin.py T1–T3
reduced 2c angle: one-sided semi-stable measured attention-stability.js T1–T7 exact rationals
tight omega-limit β* for seed +0 open not claimed; Newton bracket demoted (T8)
(2.5, 2.7) linear stability loss demoted 80k cutoff; T9 + double-zero law
Transformer / softmax threshold never rational system only; must not be reported as softmax

What this does for the other paths

Second independent instance of the PATH 12 rule. PATH 11 died approximating; PATH 12 worked by substituting in economics; this substitutes in machine learning. Two confirmations and one refutation is what turns a trick into a method.

It takes attention-bifurcation (CONFIRMED in SCORING.json) out from behind interval-transcendentals. PATH 07's consumer count drops again.

Honest risks

Harder swap than PATH 12. Huggett is still a canonical model. Linear / polynomial attention is a different attention; Geshkovski et al. is about softmax. The certified number would be a fact about the rational system and must never be reported as a fact about Transformers.

Evidence is still thin, and under-iteration already bit thrice. Bistability is gated at one rational β; seed +0 selection at two safe distances. Never trust a cluster count that has not been long-integrated or Newton-polished to a small algebraic residual.

Occupancy, ungated. Geshkovski, Letrouit, Polyanskiy and Rigollet are named from memory; Lessard–Pugliese likewise. N is near zero and the artifact is the claim — no literature gate has run.

Scored

N: near ZERO. Interacting-particle views of attention are published; certified bifurcation brackets are standard machinery. A: HIGH and unverified — a re-runnable, zero-dependency artifact for an attention system does not appear to exist (same A-axis claim as attention-bifurcation in SCORING.json).

Citation state: Geshkovski et al. and Lessard–Pugliese are named from memory and unverified at source. The measurements above were produced on 2026-07-31 by the scripts named, and are reproducible with a fixed seed.

rational-attention · frontier sandbox · not routed, not exported, not published
opened 2026-07-31 after requisite 0 passed · python3 research/_frontier/attention-substitution.py · node research/_frontier/attention-enclosure.js · python3 research/_frontier/attention-spectrum.py · python3 research/_frontier/attention-basin.py
Carlos Toledo · 2026